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EUR

Euro Strength

-40 Slightly Weak – stable Rank #8 of 8
Price vs fundamentals Confirmed by price The -40 fundamental read is matched by a -3.0% spot move against the dollar over three months — price agrees with the macro.

The Euro sits at the bottom of the eight majors with a score of -40. Positioning is a clear headwind — speculative futures traders are heavily net-short the Euro, among the most bearish readings in years. That adds selling pressure, though such crowded shorts can snap back quickly. On a valuation basis, it looks cheap versus its own one-year range, which may help cushion the downside from here.

What's driving it

The interest-rate pillar here is built from the 10-year government bond yield only — a live policy/short-term rate wasn't available, so it reflects the term premium rather than the central-bank rate.

Pillar breakdown
Interest Rates -50
Positioning -56
Risk Mood +0
Underlying data
10-year yield2.97%as of 2026-06-01
Real 10-year (after inflation)+0.24% (2.7% CPI)as of 2026-06-01
Fund positioning0th pctileas of 2026-07-21
3-month move vs USD-3.0%
Valuation (vs 1-yr norm)historically cheap

Historic Macro Strength Trend

+100+500−50−100
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EUR vs the other majors

Strength gap — click for the full pair

All currencies

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Research on EUR

The Pound's Near One-Year High vs the Euro: Why the Burnham Succession Is Lifting GBP/EUR
Sterling is near its best against the euro in about a year. The driver is a two-sided story: a UK political-risk unwind …
The ECB Hiked Rates — and the Euro Fell Anyway: Why the June Accounts Confirm a Hike Didn't Lift EUR/USD
The ECB's June accounts (released 9 July) confirmed a considered, scenario-robust hike — yet EUR/USD is still stuck near…
Eurozone Inflation Preview (July 2026): Can 2.8% Keep Falling With Brent Above $100? What the 31 July Flash Means for the Euro
Euro-area flash CPI lands Friday 31 July after June's 2.8%. With Brent back above $100, here's the scenario map for the …
Eurozone Q2 GDP Preview (July 2026): Can the Bloc Escape a −0.2% Q1 Contraction on July 30? What It Means for the Euro
Eurozone Q2 GDP flash lands 30 July after a −0.2% Q1 contraction — the first since 2022. Here's the scenario map for the…

EUR strength — frequently asked

Is the Euro (EUR) strong or weak right now?

As of the latest update, the Euro scores -40 on PIPTHEORY's macro currency strength meter (Slightly Weak), ranking #8 of the 8 major currencies. The score refreshes every 4 hours.

What drives the Euro?

PIPTHEORY scores the Euro across five macro factors: interest rates, economic growth, speculative positioning, risk sentiment and commodity exposure. The 'What's driving it' breakdown above shows how each factor is contributing now.

How is EUR currency strength measured?

Each currency is scored from -100 (very weak) to +100 (very strong) relative to the other majors, using a mechanical model. The same inputs always produce the same score, so the reading never contradicts itself from one day to the next.

How often is the EUR strength score updated?

Every four hours, as fresh central-bank, economic and market data is released.