EUR/USD
Fundamentals favour the US Dollar by 17 points.
On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -6 and the US Dollar scores +12 — a gap of 17 points in favour of the US Dollar. The widest divergence is in growth, which favours the US Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the US Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.
Pillar comparison
Which currency wins each macro driver| Driver | EUR | USD | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rates | -17 | +15 | USD |
| Growth | — | +34 | USD |
| Positioning | +8 | +12 | USD |
| Risk Mood | -0 | -24 | EUR |