EUR/CAD Gap -23.4 Updated 12 Sep, 03:15 UTC

EUR/CAD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -28 and the Canadian Dollar scores -4 — a gap of 23 points in favour of the Canadian Dollar. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the Canadian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/CAD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-23+27-33-23 AND FADING
EUR minus CAD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the CAD.
Strength gap
-23.4
Stronger side
CAD
Edge is
Holding steady
Scores
-28 vs -4

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus CAD.

FactorEURCADGap
Interest Rates -58 -24 -34.2
Growth -28 +27.8
Positioning -2 +30 -32.0
Risk Mood -0 +19 -18.9
Commodities -1 +1.1
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