EUR/AUD: the macro gap
On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -28 and the Australian Dollar scores +20 — a gap of 47 points in favour of the Australian Dollar. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the Australian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Australian Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.
Strength gap
-47.4
Stronger side
AUD
Edge is
Narrowing
Scores
-28 vs +20
Factor by factor
Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus AUD.
| Factor | EUR | AUD | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rates | -58 | +65 | -123.7 |
| Growth | — | -37 | +37.4 |
| Positioning | -2 | +23 | -24.8 |
| Risk Mood | -0 | +32 | -31.5 |
| Commodities | — | -10 | +9.9 |
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