EUR/AUD Gap -47.4 Updated 12 Sep, 03:15 UTC

EUR/AUD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -28 and the Australian Dollar scores +20 — a gap of 47 points in favour of the Australian Dollar. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the Australian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Australian Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/AUD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-47+1-74-47 AND RISING
EUR minus AUD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the AUD.
Strength gap
-47.4
Stronger side
AUD
Edge is
Narrowing
Scores
-28 vs +20

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus AUD.

FactorEURAUDGap
Interest Rates -58 +65 -123.7
Growth -37 +37.4
Positioning -2 +23 -24.8
Risk Mood -0 +32 -31.5
Commodities -10 +9.9
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