NZD/USD
Fundamentals favour the US Dollar by 10 points.
On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the New Zealand Dollar scores +2 and the US Dollar scores +12 — a gap of 10 points in favour of the US Dollar. The widest divergence is in positioning, which favours the US Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the US Dollar against the New Zealand Dollar — though markets may already have priced much of it in.
Pillar comparison
Which currency wins each macro driver| Driver | NZD | USD | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rates | +11 | +15 | USD |
| Growth | +1 | +34 | USD |
| Positioning | -56 | +12 | USD |
| Risk Mood | +39 | -24 | NZD |
| Commodities | +22 | — | NZD |